Trump Will Win

The 17th century English theologian Thomas Fuller said, "It is always darkest just before the day dawneth.” Astronomy says this is not the case; it is darker in the middle of the night and only when the moon is "new" and the air is dry and free of haze.

Within Fuller's fumble there lies a truth critical to us 400 years later: The Trump campaign has been in free fall, but we think it is much illusion crafted by the major media, electoral history, wishful thinking of the political scoundrel class and polling practice errors. This combination forms the most powerful vector in election analysis. Such perpetrators have convinced many of you that a trace gas in the atmosphere can "wag the dog" that is the atmosphere. Meanwhile, back at the election:

Political polling is a dark art using the tools of math and science to paint pictures in words to illuminate the darkness of the future.  For seven decades polsters have been wizards guiding advertising, marketing, production, commodity prices, you name it they poll it, banks lend on it, commerce rises or falls on it. There is power in numbers, but only if they are the right numbers.

You may notice in every political poll the pollster proudly announces "...of registered voters." In most elections that is main vein. There is no reason to go elsewhere. That is not true now because 34% of our voting age people do not register and where Presidential elections are usually won by a 1% to 2% margin the fact that 34% of our voting age population is absent means that nine percent of those folks, 3% of the total, could turn the tale.  It is the classic "critical mass" or electoral time bomb.

With two and one-half months until election day the earth under the electorate is fractured and fallible. Many are very unhappy and getting increasingly so when major media makes fun of and twists what someone who talks like them gets trashed, twisted and trammeled in ink, pictures and sound.

Mr. Trump has made some horrible gaffs and been walked into others made by masters of snark like George Stephanopolis when of the Kahn disaster George noted, "You did not make their kind of sacrifice." Mr. Trump gave a limp answer when he should have said, "I agree, but you did not make that kind of sacrifice and Mr. Obama did not make that kind of sacrifice plus Mr. Obama's Rules of Engagement have contributed to such deaths and I will not have rules protective of ISIS, nor will I call it ICIL which erases Israel from the Arabian Peninsula." George hits back with, "Mr. Obama was not President when Mr. Khan was killed!" And, Mr. Trump answers with, "Deaths like his have increased greatly under Mr. Obama's rules of engagement!"

The trick in dealing with the "snarky" kind is to first agree with them as it throws them and if they get off their preset track they stumble getting back on. Mr. Trump's problem is that he has been at the head of the table in the board room too long sitting with sycophants telling him how wonderful he is and he believes it. He may be wonderful, but he is in a pig wrassle with politicians and journalists and he has to sharpen his "snark."

Mr. Trump is speaking to the voters vein only he has tapped, but the mother lode is not yet found. Hopefully they are hearing expressions like "extreme vetting" which they will like. He is not citing the history of Ellis Island where that was the rule for more than one century, with many would-be immigrants returning to wherever they came, and he should.

America has not been the doormat of the world as the Democrats would have us believe and this is the reason they have dumbed-down the school history curriculum.  If you watch "man-on-the-street" interviews where the reporter asks anything of our history you too have been astounded and embarrassed at the ignorance of our people. This is an objective of international socialism, "Dumb them down to our reality."

The debates are critical to Mr. Trump. If he clearly wins he will be President. If he fumbles or goes into "Make America great again!" rants he will lose. Hillary will have the questions in advance. Mr. Trump has to get them and his operatives must have some "real money" to spend. They are critical. Hillary will be spectacular on knowing "the Secretary of Education of Pussistan" and the "Premier of Kurdjerkov" in setup questions. As Obama said in the second Romney debate disaster, "Read the transcript, Candy." Has anybody seen Candy Crowley?

Mr. Trump needs to make the case: These are obscure people. The question is a setup and he should say so. The President would never have anything to do with such people and Trump should cite the list of absurdities to embarrass the network for an obvious setup. This should get a big coughing spasm for Hillary as she does not deal with stress well. On that Mr. Trump can bring up the question of her health and if she cites her family doctor letter he should say a more respected physician is in order.

At some opportune time he should he should ask "What are you going to do for a security clearance?" as losing one always means you are banned for life. Without a security clearance at the highest level Hillary cannot serve.

There will almost certainly be one to several ISIS inspired or ordered "gags" resulting in the deaths of hundreds if not thousands of Americans and the people may well realize we are in World War III, a war fought by civilians and America is the only leading nation on the planet that can win such a war thanks to the Second Amendment. The American hunter is the largest army on the planet and the one that has kept us from invasion, but 70 generation inbred Muslims are stupid enough to try. It is the thirst for freedom and the spunk of our people that will insure Trump will win.

Adrian Vance